Despite signs that the overall U.S. economy is beginning to improve, nonresidential construction spending is expected to decrease by 13.4 percent in 2010 with a marginal increase of 1.8 percent in 2011, according to the American Institute of Architects’ semi-annual Consensus Construction Forecast, a survey of the nation’s leading construction forecasters.
Commercial and industrial projects will continue to see the most significant decrease in activity, but institutional building categories will fare better over this period due in part to federal stimulus spending.
“When economies emerge from this prolonged recession, recovery for nonresidential construction activity typically takes longer,” says Kermit Baker, chief economist for AIA. “Hardest hit will be the commercial and industrial sectors with projected declines in the 20 percent range for 2010 in most building categories. Led by the healthcare market, the institutional sector will see far less dramatic declines and should help lead the construction industry into recovery in 2011.”
Further details from the Consensus Construction Forecast can be found at
http://info.aia.org/aiarchitect/thisweek09/1218/1218b_consensus.cfm.